The 3 Mental Hacks That Will Transform Your Trading Gilbert December 31, 2013 at 7:38 am 31 - Forex Fundamental Analysis
His description of the influence of inflation on currency rates left me confused for a few reasons. Inflation was generally believed to be a good thing until about 1965 (if you owe people money, it decreases the real value of the amount you owe - those of us in debt probably wouldn't mind a little inflation - provided we have adjusted our lifestyle to lower our costs). In fact, the recent rapid inflation in home prices was pretty positive for the economy (until it was unsustainable). So if you read any texts that are older (say, Keynes) you have to remember that they had a fundamentally different view of good and bad (generally the better economists try not to pass value judgements). Mr. Cofnas says that inflation is the enemy of central banks, so I'm immediately suspicious. Inflation is a term that describes the rate at which the currency changes value as measured against goods. A little inflation is believed to be good (particularly in a growing economy) because it stimulates spending. He seems to admit this later when he notes that most central banks have inflation targets, and they are not zero. The opposite of inflation is deflation, which can be very bad in a market economy, because it exerts pressure on people not to spend, therefore adding deflationary pressure creating a real problem for the economy (this is one of the things that probably contributed to the great depression in the 1930's). Mr. Cofnas states that increases in inflation in a coutry are positive for the currency. However, I'm guessing that this is only true if the underlying strength of the currency remains somewhat stable (people are coming into the currency for higher rates). Otherwise, wouldn't currency traders flock to one of the currencies that have %1,000+ inflation per year? Of course not, the currency is losing value compared to other currencies faster than investments that can be made in the currency are gaining value.
Contact page Bookmark Us There are actually three ways that institutions, corporations and individuals trade forex: the spot market, the forwards market and the futures market. The forex trading in the spot market always has been the largest market because it is the "underlying" real asset that the forwards and futures markets are based on. In the past, the futures market was the most popular venue for traders because it was available to individual investors for a longer period of time. However, with the advent of electronic trading and numerous forex brokers, the spot market has witnessed a huge surge in activity and now surpasses the futures market as the preferred trading market for individual investors and speculators. When people refer to the forex market, they usually are referring to the spot market. The forwards and futures markets tend to be more popular with companies that need to hedge their foreign exchange risks out to a specific date in the future.
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Investor Alerts & Bulletins › 5. Governments or central banks that either buy or sell currencies and try to adjust financial imbalances, or adjust economic conditions.
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