In Retirement Cambodia My statement To understand the need to use an exponential moving average, let us quickly refresh ourselves about simple moving average. A simple moving average is nothing but an arithmetic mean of a set of values. For example, to calculate a five-day simple moving average, the closing price of the past five days is added and divided by five. The resulting value is plotted as a dot in a chart with time on the X-axis and value on the Y-axis. The same procedure is carried out on the next day to get the next point to be plotted on the chart. The two points are now connected to visualize the trend effectively. As it can be seen, the calculation gives equal weight to all the closing prices used for the calculation. However, in reality, there may be situations where unexpected news, announced recently, would have resulted in large price swings. Since the calculation does not give any special preference to the latest price, the outcome of the calculation will not reflect what is currently going on in the market. This is technically called the lag. Common sense dictates that better trading decisions can be taken when the lag is brought down to minimal. This is where an exponential moving average (EMA) can be advantageous.
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